Severe Weather Outlook

Low confidence: a 20% likelihood (or 1 chance in 5) that the event will actually happen.
Moderate confidence: a 40% likelihood (or 2 chances in 5) that the event will actually happen.
High confidence: a 60% likelihood (or 3 chances in 5) that the event will actually happen.

New issues of this forecast are made available on this site at or before 16:30NZST
To ensure you have the latest information use your browser's page refresh function.
(PC users: for best results hold down CTRL while clicking on Refresh/Reload).